A new YouGov poll of 1,620 voters published today (Thursday) gives the clearest sign yet that the people want to have the final say on Boris Johnson’s Brexit in the form of a new referendum – rather than risk leaving the decision to politicians.
If the Prime Minister tries to leave the EU with No Deal, there is an outright majority for a People’s Vote with the public favouring a new referendum by a margin of more than two to one.
A total of 52 per cent of people would back a referendum compared to 23 per cent who would want the final say left to Parliament and 25 per cent who were “don’t knows”.
Significantly, it is not only people who backed Remain in 2016 who would want a new vote but also 41 per cent of Leave voters
And, even if Johnson gets approval from the EU for his proposed Brexit deal, there is still overwhelming support for a final say referendum with voters backing it by 47 per cent to 29 per cent, with 24 per cent saying, “don’t know”.
Although Johnson has challenged Labour to a General Election, once again this is less popular than a referendum as a way of resolving the Brexit crisis. A total of 35 per cent back a General Election, compared to 40 per cent for a referendum and 25 per cent saying they did not know. Labour voters prefer a referendum over a General election by a margin of almost three-to-one (65 to 23 per cent).
Peter Kellner, the past president of YouGov and one of Britain’s leading pollsters, said:
“It is clear that the public mood is hardening in favour of a People’s Vote to decide whether Brexit should go ahead.
“For the past year, most poll questions relating to Brexit have produced modest leads for giving the final say to voters in a referendum. Now, following the Supreme Court judgement, and as the Prime Minister prepared to put his revised proposals to Brussels, there are big leads for the public rather than MPs settling the issue.
“If Boris Johnson does secure a deal, voters divide 47-29 per cent in favour of a People’s Vote. If Johnson returns empty-handed, the margin widens to more than two-to-one, with 52 per cent wanting a referendum and just 23 per cent saying MPs should take the final decision.
“Not surprisingly, Remain voters are keen on a referendum; but so are large number of Leave voters. They are evenly divided on what to do if there is a deal (38 per cent Parliament, 33 per cent referendum). But by a clear 41-27 per cent margin, Leave voters want a referendum, rather than MPs, to settle the matter if there is no deal.
“As far as the general public is concerned, democracy is no longer served by simply enacting the result of the 2016 referendum. Today there is a far stronger sentiment that the best way forward is to ask the people again, once it is clear what specific form of Brexit is on offer – deal or no deal.”
Notes to editors
Tables are here.