New data from the National Centre for Social Research (NatCen) shows that 54% of voters, who expressed a preference, would now vote to stay in the EU, compared to 46% who would support leaving.
NatCen’s polling also shows that 63% of voters think Britain has got a bad deal out of the Brexit negotiations and 81% think the Government are handling the negotiations badly.
Commenting, Peter Kellner, past president of YouGov, stated:
“The swing in public opinion towards supporting staying in the EU has been evident for some time and NatCen’s results – showing a 54% to 46% lead for remaining in the EU is another sign of that. But when voters are asked to choose between specific options, such as between the Prime Minister’s Brexit deal and staying in the EU, or leaving the EU with no deal and keeping our current deal as members, the lead for staying in the EU becomes even greater.
“This confirms that a new referendum, offering the choice of Remain and a specific form of Leave, would be significantly different from the contest three years ago, when the nature of ‘Leave’ was not defined, and people could imagine a Brexit of their dreams and vote for something that might never come true.
“It is also good to see Sir John Curtice acknowledging that support for a People’s Vote on whatever Brexit deal Parliament eventually settles on is growing and that polls over the last six months have shown that supporters of a People’s Vote or a Public Vote have outnumbered opponents of the people getting the final say.”
Notes to editors
- Polling for the People’s Vote campaign by YouGov earlier this month showed that, on specific options (excluding don’t knows etc. and weighted by likelihood to vote), voters would back staying in the EU to leaving with no deal by 57% to 43% and voters would back staying in the EU to leaving on the terms of the Government’s deal by 61% to 39%. The same poll showed just 13% of voters backed a so-called “Norway Plus” option of staying in the Single Market and Customs Union. The full polling can be read here: https://bit.ly/2JigWB
- NatCen’s polling is described here: http://natcen.ac.uk/news-media/press-releases/2019/march/british-public-unhappy-about-brexit-negotiations,-with-leavers-and-remainers-equally-critical/